Best MLB Hits Matchups — Wednesday, April 1, 2026
Top hits spot: Brice Turang
Brice Turang (MIL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Drew Rasmussen. The lefty is hitting .429 H/PA against righties this year — and .429 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 28% of his trips. And Drew Rasmussen has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .364 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .200 in 5 career PA against Drew Rasmussen, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (94) vs LHP Garrett Crochet: an excellent bat at .288 into an arm tough on the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Brandon Nimmo (TEX) (92) vs LHP Trevor Rogers: an excellent bat at .276 into an arm tough on the same side (.000).
- Jacob Wilson (ATH) (88) vs LHP Chris Sale: an excellent bat at .280 into an arm tough on the same side (.167).
- Christian Yelich (MIL) (85) vs RHP Drew Rasmussen: an excellent bat at .270 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.364), due to bounce back.
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (82) vs RHP Jacob Misiorowski: an excellent bat at .290 into an arm tough on the same side (.182).
- Jose Altuve (HOU) (81) vs LHP Garrett Crochet: an excellent bat at .284 into an arm tough on the same side (.143).
- Willy Adames (SF) (80) vs RHP Nick Pivetta: a strong bat at .263 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.250).
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- LHP Andrew Abbott has been vulnerable to lefties — .284 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Oneil Cruz (PIT), Jake Mangum (PIT), and Nick Gonzales (PIT).
- LHP Yusei Kikuchi has been vulnerable to lefties — .272 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Nico Hoerner (CHC), Alex Bregman (CHC), and Ian Happ (CHC).
- RHP Nathan Eovaldi has been vulnerable to righties — .269 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Gunnar Henderson (BAL), Pete Alonso (BAL), and Taylor Ward (BAL).
- RHP Mike Burrows has been vulnerable to righties — .268 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Trevor Story (BOS), Wilyer Abreu (BOS), and Jarren Duran (BOS).
Platoon edges to target
- Brice Turang (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .429 against righties this year.
- Jacob Wilson (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .600 against lefties this year.
- Christian Yelich (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .385 against righties this year.
- Jose Altuve (HOU) — righty bat vs LHP, .455 against lefties this year.
- Colt Keith (DET) — lefty bat vs RHP, .350 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Brice Turang (MIL), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Hunter Goodman (COL), Daylen Lile (WSH), Kazuma Okamoto (TOR), and Jake Burger (TEX). Cold but due to bounce back: Christian Yelich (MIL), Luis Robert Jr. (NYM), Chase Meidroth (CWS), Jeff McNeil (ATH), and TJ Friedl (CIN).
How it played out
9 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Brice Turang finished with 1 hit. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.