Best MLB Hits Matchups — Sunday, July 19, 2026
Top hits spot: Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Ryan Feltner. The lefty is hitting .239 H/PA against righties this year — and .367 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 27% of his trips. And Ryan Feltner has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .333 hits per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Ryan Feltner too — .333 across 6 career trips. It all sets up in a hitter's park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (87) vs RHP Hunter Greene: a strong bat at .255 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.231), hitter's park, hot bat.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (80) vs RHP Brandon Young: an excellent bat at .275 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.308), hot bat.
- Otto Lopez (MIA) (80) vs LHP Robert Gasser: a strong bat at .269 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.344).
- TJ Rumfield (COL) (80) vs RHP Hunter Greene: an excellent bat at .287 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.231), hitter's park.
- Drake Baldwin (ATL) (79) vs RHP Nathan Eovaldi: a strong bat at .251 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.444).
- Michael Harris II (ATL) (78) vs RHP Nathan Eovaldi: an excellent bat at .284 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.444).
- Ernie Clement (TOR) (75) vs RHP Sean Burke: a strong bat at .265 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.333).
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- LHP Robert Gasser has been vulnerable to lefties — .265 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Heriberto Hernández (MIA), and Javier Sanoja (MIA).
- RHP Nathan Eovaldi has been giving up plenty to righties — .259 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Drake Baldwin (ATL), Michael Harris II (ATL), and Ozzie Albies (ATL).
- LHP Jacob Lopez has been giving up plenty to lefties — .258 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Curtis Mead (WSH), James Wood (WSH), and Dylan Crews (WSH).
Platoon edges to target
- Elly De La Cruz (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .239 against righties this year.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .258 against righties this year.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .272 against righties this year.
- Otto Lopez (MIA) — righty bat vs LHP, .388 against lefties this year.
- TJ Rumfield (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .274 against righties this year.
Best parks to hit in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Elly De La Cruz (CIN) at 100.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Elly De La Cruz (CIN), Jake McCarthy (COL), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Ryan Jeffers (MIN), JJ Bleday (CIN), and Gabriel Moreno (AZ). Cold but due to bounce back: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Jackson Merrill (SD), Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), Freddie Freeman (LAD), and Austin Martin (MIN).
Lineup watch
279 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.