Best MLB H+R+RBI Matchups — Wednesday, July 8, 2026
Top h+r+rbi spot: Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II (ATL) tops the board at 100, projected for about 0.48 H+R+RBI per plate appearance across 4.7 projected trips. We build the number bottom-up — summing his projection on every component board — so it moves with each of those matchups instead of a single rate, and inherits their tuning.
The rest of the top of the board
- Chase DeLauter (CLE) (97) vs RHP the starter: a solid bat at .485 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) (92) vs RHP the starter: a solid bat at .475 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (91) vs RHP the starter: a solid bat at .463 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (85) vs RHP the starter: a solid bat at .472 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Cole Carrigg (COL) (82) vs RHP the starter: a solid bat at .466 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (82) vs RHP the starter: a league-average bat at .445 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (81) vs RHP the starter: a solid bat at .452 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
How it played out
6 of the top 10 h+r+rbi matchups landed at least one H+R+RBI. Top play Michael Harris II finished with 2 H+R+RBI. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these h+r+rbi matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's combined hits + runs + RBIs per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.