Best MLB Singles Matchups — Wednesday, July 1, 2026
Top singles spot: Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy (COL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Max Meyer. The lefty is lining singles at — 1B/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a single in about 14% of his trips. And Max Meyer has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 3 career PA against Max Meyer, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a hitter's park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Otto Lopez (MIA) (100) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Anthony Seigler (BOS) (96) vs RHP Brad Lord: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- James Wood (WSH) (96) vs LHP Payton Tolle: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Carson Benge (NYM) (96) vs RHP Braydon Fisher: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
- Nathan Lukes (TOR) (96) vs RHP Freddy Peralta: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (92) vs RHP Walker Buehler: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (92) vs RHP Colin Rea: a solid bat at .145 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
Where singles fall in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% single park). Top bat there: Jake McCarthy (COL) at 100.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Anthony Seigler (BOS), Carson Benge (NYM), Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD), Sam Antonacci (CWS), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Liam Hicks (MIA). Cold but due to bounce back: Nathan Lukes (TOR), Esteury Ruiz (MIA), Brandon Lowe (PIT), Taylor Ward (BAL), and Jose Altuve (HOU).
How it played out
7 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play Jake McCarthy finished with 0 singles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.